Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.