Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
