Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
