This is a huge game for both sides at a vital stage of the campaign, but we are finding it very difficult to separate them. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that a tight match on Friday night will end with a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
