This has all of the makings of an entertaining contest, and we are expecting goals in Saturday's affair. Espanyol have the second-worst home record in the league this season, but Athletic have won just four times on their travels, so we are backing a draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.38) 
