Cadiz have shared the points in each of their last three league matches, and we can see another draw here. Mendilibar will be looking to make the perfect start as Sevilla boss, but the Europa League quarter-finalists have only won twice away from home in the league this season, so a draw is the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.02) 
