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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
RM

Cadiz
0 - 2
Real Madrid


Alcaraz (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nacho (72'), Asensio (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 0-2 Cadiz
Sunday, April 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cadiz 1-2 Real Madrid

Cadiz will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, while Real Madrid are expected to rest a number of important players, but we still believe that the reigning champions will be able to navigate their way to all three points in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawReal Madrid
17.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.62%61.26%
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)46.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.47%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.02%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36%42.64%
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 17.12%
    Real Madrid 61.26%
    Draw 21.61%
CadizDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-1 @ 4.66%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 17.12%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 11.34%
0-2 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-3 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 6.35%
0-4 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.88%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.3%
1-5 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Betis 0-2 Cadiz
Sunday, April 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Sevilla
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Getafe
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-3 Villarreal
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League


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