Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
