Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.
