Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.