Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 67.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
