Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.