Real Madrid
1 - 0
Getafe

Ramos (79' pen.)
Carvajal (15'), Ramos (26'), Modric (45+4'), Militao (47'), Mariano (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Timor (1'), Nyom (47'), Suarez (52'), Mata (72'), Arambarri (83')

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European roundup: Sergio Ramos fires Real Madrid four points clear at top

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Getafe
59.7%	23.19%	17.11%

Both teams to score 46.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79%

74.21%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72%

17.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38%

47.62%

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79%

44.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.71%

80.29%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 59.7%

Getafe 17.11%

Draw 23.19%

Real Madrid	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 5.62% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.54% Total : 59.7%	1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.55% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.58% Total : 17.11%