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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Jul 2, 2020 at 9pm UK
Santiago Bernabeu
GL

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Getafe

Ramos (79' pen.)
Carvajal (15'), Ramos (26'), Modric (45+4'), Militao (47'), Mariano (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Timor (1'), Nyom (47'), Suarez (52'), Mata (72'), Arambarri (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawGetafe
59.7%23.19%17.11%
Both teams to score 46.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45%52.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79%74.21%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72%17.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38%47.62%
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79%44.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71%80.29%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 59.7%
    Getafe 17.11%
    Draw 23.19%
Real MadridDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 13.41%
2-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 5.62%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 59.7%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.55%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 17.11%


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