Villarreal
1 - 4
Barcelona

Moreno (14')
Torres (18')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Torres (3' og.), Suarez (20'), Griezmann (45'), Fati (86')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Villarreal win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
21.41%	22.31%	56.29%

Both teams to score 56.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1%

42.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7%

65.3%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43%

70.56%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93%

15.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.41%

43.59%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 21.41%

Barcelona 56.29%

Draw 22.3%

Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 5.66% 1-0 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.18% Total : 21.41%	1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.67% 0-2 @ 9.15% 1-3 @ 6.24% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.95% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.29%