SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 25.55% | 27.67% | 46.79% |
| Both teams to score 44.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% | 60.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.65% | 80.35% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.62% | 76.38% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% | 25.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.29% | 60.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.35% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.55% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 13.87% 0-2 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-3 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.06% Total : 46.79% |
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