Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.