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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
RS

PSV
2 - 2
Real Sociedad

Gotze (32'), Gakpo (54')
van Ginkel (59'), Vinicius (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Januzaj (34'), Isak (39')
Munoz (42'), Guevara (70'), Oyarzabal (77'), Elustondo (84'), Zubeldia (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawReal Sociedad
42.53%25.25%32.22%
Both teams to score 55.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35%47.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15%69.85%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66%22.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17%55.83%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97%28.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32%63.68%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 42.53%
    Real Sociedad 32.22%
    Draw 25.24%
PSV EindhovenDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.53%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.22%

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