Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.