Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
