Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
