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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
GL

Mallorca
1 - 0
Girona

Copete (33')
Valjent (37'), Lato (59'), Mascarell (73'), Gonzalez (76'), Darder (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Michel (45+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Girona

Mallorca will have been boosted by their penalty-shootout success over Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey, but Girona need to keep winning to stay in the title picture, and we believe that the Catalan side, who have been impressive on their travels this season, will edge a close match this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawGirona
32.55% (-1.209 -1.21) 26.8% (0.311 0.31) 40.65% (0.898 0.9)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-1.297 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.98% (-1.512 -1.51)54.02% (1.513 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54% (-1.283 -1.28)75.45% (1.284 1.28)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-1.551 -1.55)30.98% (1.553 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-1.857 -1.86)67.29% (1.858 1.86)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.212 -0.21)26.12% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.288 -0.29)61.19% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 32.55%
    Girona 40.65%
    Draw 26.8%
MallorcaDrawGirona
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.55%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.468 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.57 0.57)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.338 0.34)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Mallorca (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, February 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, February 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Mallorca
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Girona
Monday, February 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Girona
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Girona
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Girona
Wednesday, January 24 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey


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