Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Las Palmas |
72.38% ( 0.11) | 16.25% ( -0.05) | 11.37% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.92% ( 0.13) | 34.08% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.05% ( 0.15) | 55.95% ( -0.14) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.8% ( 0.06) | 8.2% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.28% ( 0.14) | 28.71% ( -0.14) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% ( 0) | 40.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.53% ( 0) | 77.47% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Las Palmas |
2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.38% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.25% | 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.37% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: