Las Palmas deserve a lot of credit for what has been an impressive campaign back at this level, but Barcelona are on a roll at the moment, and we are expecting Xavi's side to post their 20th La Liga victory of the campaign to move to within five points of the leaders Real Madrid.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.05) 
