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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadi Ciutat de Valencia
VL

Levante
3 - 4
Valencia

Campana (21'), Marti (24'), Bardhi (90+1')
Pepelu (23'), Luis Morales (58'), Soldado (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (44', 85'), Soler (50' pen., 72')
Diakhaby (20'), Racic (60'), Iranzo (80'), Costa (88')

We said: Levante 1-1 Valencia

Levante have shown improvement under their new manager, and Valencia will be missing some important players for this derby. If we had to pick a winner then it would be the visitors, but Levante have enjoyed a lot of success at home to their bitter rivals, and we have a feeling that this one could end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Levante had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
LevanteDrawValencia
27.98%27.71%44.31%
Both teams to score 46.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.97%59.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51%79.49%
Levante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63%37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21%73.79%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49%26.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29%61.7%
Score Analysis
    Levante 27.98%
    Valencia 44.3%
    Draw 27.7%
LevanteDrawValencia
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 27.98%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.81%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 13.02%
0-2 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-3 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.27%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.3%

Read more!
Read more!


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