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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Mestalla
E

Valencia
2 - 1
Elche

Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')

We said: Valencia 2-1 Elche

Elche are more than capable of picking up a positive result here, and Valencia have drawn three of their last four league matches, but we fancy Los Che to collect all three points on Saturday, with Bordalas's side moving above Barcelona if they manage to win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawElche
48.84%26.78%24.37%
Both teams to score 46.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11%57.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39%78.6%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.95%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5%39.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81%76.19%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 48.84%
    Elche 24.37%
    Draw 26.78%
ValenciaDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 24.37%

Read more!
Read more!


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