Osasuna have become renowned for their low-scoring affairs this season, and the possibility of Arrasate sacrificing the suspended Avila for another defender will serve to frustrate Real Madrid.
The visitors are not to be taken lightly by any stretch, but the return of Benzema to a red-hot Blancos frontline should help Real Madrid continue their perfect start to the campaign and remain top of the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
