Four of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we can see another draw here. Real Sociedad have home advantage, but the Basque outfit have found it difficult this season, and we are expecting a low-scoring draw on Saturday evening.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
-0.42) 
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