Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points to aid their respective European bids, but Real Sociedad and Valencia have played out draws in their last two meetings at the Reale Arena, and we think that they could produce another drawn scoreline in Thursday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
-0.25) 
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