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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
San Mames Barria
VL

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Valencia

Prados (45')
Prados (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mir (23'), Mosquera (26'), Foulquier (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia

Athletic would have been disappointed to take just one point from their first two matches, but they are usually a force to be reckoned with at San Mames, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to condemn Valencia to a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
57.48% (1.071 1.07) 24.63% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 17.88% (-1.004 -1)
Both teams to score 43.61% (-1.438 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (-1.018 -1.02)56.74% (1.021 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (-0.825 -0.82)77.69% (0.82700000000001 0.83)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.022999999999996 0.02)19.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03)51.65% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.28% (-1.805 -1.81)45.72% (1.807 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.49% (-1.448 -1.45)81.51% (1.451 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 57.48%
    Valencia 17.88%
    Draw 24.63%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 57.48%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Eibar
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 3-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Levante
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1


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