Athletic would have been disappointed to take just one point from their first two matches, but they are usually a force to be reckoned with at San Mames, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to condemn Valencia to a narrow defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
1.07) 
-0.07) 
