Both league matches between the two sides last season finished level, and we are expecting another draw here. Celta will have been boosted by their home success last time out, but Valencia should be able to avoid a second successive defeat at the start of the new campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
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