Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.08%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Ferencvaros win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
