We said: Sevilla 2-1 Celta Vigo
This is a really tough test for Sevilla, particularly considering Celta's away form during the 2021-22 campaign. Lopetegui's side need to win to stay in touch with Real Madrid, though, and we are backing the home team to secure all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
