Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.