Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
