Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.