Valencia
2 - 3
Barcelona

Paulista (50'), Messi (57', 69'), Griezmann (63'), Soler (83')
Racic (35'), Lato (56'), ter Stegen (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
12.39%	17.26%	70.35%

Both teams to score 53.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.76%

36.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.64%

58.36%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.3%

40.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72%

77.28%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.8%

9.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.85%

31.15%

Score Analysis

Valencia 12.39%

Barcelona 70.34%

Draw 17.26%

Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 3.61% 1-0 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.53% Total : 12.39%	1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.31% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.26%	0-2 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-1 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-4 @ 5.06% 1-4 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-5 @ 2.42% 1-5 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 2.04% 2-5 @ 0.98% 0-6 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.34%