SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
| 12.39% | 17.26% | 70.35% |
| Both teams to score 53.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.76% | 36.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.64% | 58.36% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.72% | 77.28% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.8% | 9.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.85% | 31.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 3.61% 1-0 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.53% Total : 12.39% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.31% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.26% | 0-2 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-1 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-4 @ 5.06% 1-4 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-5 @ 2.42% 1-5 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 2.04% 2-5 @ 0.98% 0-6 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.34% |
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