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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 27
Sep 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium

Derry
2 - 2
Finn Harps

Ogedi-Uzokwe (20'), Thomson (90')
Lafferty (24'), McJannett (65')
Thomson (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mustoe (40'), Rainey (62')
Seymore (35'), Sadiki (38'), O'Sullivan (81'), Boyle (90'), Boyd (90')
McGinley (90')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Finn Harps.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Derry CityDrawFinn Harps
40.53%28.46%31%
Both teams to score 45.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44%60.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34%80.66%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71%29.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75%65.25%
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52%35.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75%72.24%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 40.53%
    Finn Harps 31%
    Draw 28.46%
Derry CityDrawFinn Harps
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.02%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 31%

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