Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
