Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
