Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.