Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.64%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.