Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finn Harps would win this match.