Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
