Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
