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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
S

Derry
2 - 0
Shelbourne

Thomson (19'), Figueira (62')
Cherrie (72'), Clifford (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(78')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Shelbourne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawShelbourne
51.23%26.01%22.77%
Both teams to score 46.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59%56.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58%77.42%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9%22.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55%55.45%
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.81%40.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17%76.83%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 51.22%
    Shelbourne 22.77%
    Draw 26.01%
Derry CityDrawShelbourne
1-0 @ 13.4%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 51.22%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 22.77%


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