Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.