Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
