Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
