SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
32.41% ( 0.02) | 27.48% ( -0.06) | 40.11% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.32% ( 0.24) | 56.68% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% ( 0.19) | 77.64% ( -0.19) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( 0.14) | 32.43% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( 0.16) | 68.95% ( -0.16) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( 0.14) | 27.66% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( 0.18) | 63.2% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.41% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.1% |
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