SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
44.62% ( -0.01) | 26.66% ( -0) | 28.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% ( 0.02) | 54.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( 0.01) | 76.15% ( -0.01) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0) | 24.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( 0) | 58.91% ( -0) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.01) | 34.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( 0.02) | 70.87% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.72% |
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