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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 35.49%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
35.49% ( -0.02) | 29.77% ( 0.01) | 34.74% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.62% ( -0.01) | 64.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.54% ( -0.01) | 83.46% ( 0.01) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.02) | 34.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% ( -0.03) | 71.07% ( 0.03) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% ( 0.01) | 34.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% ( 0.01) | 71.61% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.76% | 0-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 34.73% |
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