SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Bohemians |
36.23% ( -0.55) | 25.92% ( 0.03) | 37.84% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.15) | 49.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( -0.14) | 71.84% ( 0.14) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( -0.39) | 26.64% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( -0.52) | 61.87% ( 0.52) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.22) | 25.72% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( 0.3) | 60.65% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.84% |
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